Trump warns of fresh strikes if Iran talks fail – as it happened | US-Israel war on Iran-Breaking News, Latest Updates

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The World Bank president, Ajay Banga, has told Reuters that even if a lasting ceasefire happens immediately, there will be a cascading effect on the global economy that will be even worse if the ceasefire fails.

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Banga said global growth could lower by 0.3 to 0.4 percentage points if the ceasefire lasts and by as much as 1 percentage point if it fails. Inflation could go up 200 to 300 basis points and go up much further – of up to 0.9 percentage points – if the war continues. The prognosis is even worse for developing countries, according to the World Bank, with inflation of 6.7% possible under the worst-case scenario.

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The world’s largest development bank was in discussion with some developing countries, including island nations with no natural energy resources, to tap funds under “crisis response windows”. But Banga cautioned them to avoid setting up energy subsidies that they could not afford in the future.

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The crisis had put a spotlight on the need for countries to diversify energy supplies and boost self-sufficiency, Banga said, citing the case of Nigeria, which used a $20bn investment to boost production in refineries and was now supplying jet fuel to neighbours.

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“They’ve built up the ability to have energy security for themselves through that huge investment,” he said. “It’s actually a really good example of the right thing being done in terms of energy self-sufficiency for them, but also for their neighbors.“

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“If you don’t get nuclear and hydro and geothermal going at scale, along with wind and solar, they will end up doing more with traditional fuels, and nobody really wants that.”

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Bank President Ajay Banga gives remarks during a forum held at the Atlantic Council building in Washington, D.C., U.S., on April 7, 2026″,”caption”:”The World Bank’s president, Ajay Banga, in Washington, DC on April 7, 2026.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Aaron Schwartz/Reuters”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1775868084000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”02.41 CEST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1775871008000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”03.30 CEST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1775868973000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”02.56 CEST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”02.56″,”title”:”World Bank president offers analysis of damage to world economy from Iran war so far”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Sat 11 Apr 2026 04.36 CEST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 10 Apr 2026 04.40 CEST”},{“id”:”69d96a238f08ff62487f7292″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Donald Trump has wished his vice-president JD Vance luck ahead of talks with Iran in Islamabad this weekend.

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Speaking to reporters before boarding a plane to Charlottesville, Virginia, Trump was asked what a good deal would look like. The US president replied:

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No nuclear weapon, that’s 99% of it. We’ll see how it turns out, we’ll see how it all works out.

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Asked if the deal would also include the strait of Hormuz, Trump said the US will have the strait “open fairly soon”.

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That’ll open up automatically… we don’t use the strait, other countries use the strait. We will have that open fairly soon.

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And asked about whether the US has a backup plan, Trump said: “We don’t need a backup plan … we’ve hit them hard, our military is amazing.”

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President Donald Trump walks toward reporters before answering questions prior to boarding Air Force One on Friday at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland.”,”caption”:”U.S. President Donald Trump walks toward reporters before answering questions prior to boarding Air Force One on Friday at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Win McNamee/Getty Images”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1775856163000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”23.22 CEST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1775868356000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”02.45 CEST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1775856336000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”23.25 CEST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”23.25″,”title”:”Trump says US will have strait of Hormuz ‘open fairly soon'”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Sat 11 Apr 2026 04.36 CEST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 10 Apr 2026 04.40 CEST”},{“id”:”69d962ae8f08a86a0e563867″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

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  Iran’s delegation has arrived Islamabad ahead of high-stakes talks with the United States on Saturday, which the Pakistani prime minister described as “make or break” for achieving a permanent ceasefire. The delegation is headed by Iran’s powerful parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and he is reportedly accompanied by Abbas Araghchi, Iran’s foreign minister, Ali Akbar Ahmadian, secretary of Iran’s defence council, Abdolnaser Hemmati, governor of Iran’s central bank, and several members of the Iranian parliament. Ghalibaf said earlier on Friday that two previously agreed measures – a ceasefire in Lebanon and the release of Iran’s blocked assets – “must be fulfilled before negotiations begin”.

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  US vice-president JD Vance, who is en route to Islamabad, said he was “looking forward to negotiations” and expected them to be positive – though he warned Iran not to “play” the US. He is leading the US delegation and will be accompanied by Donald Trump’s special envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner.

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  It comes as Trump threatened fresh strikes if talks fail, adding that the Iranians “have no cards” and that the only reason they are alive “is to negotiate”. Trump told the New York Post that the US is loading its warships with the “best weapons” in case talks with Tehran fail. “And if we don’t have a deal, we will be using them and we will be using them very effectively,” he said.

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  Meanwhile, Lebanon and Israel have agreed to meet in Washington on Tuesday to discuss a ceasefire and to set a date to begin talks. The date of the meeting was set on Friday night during a phone call between Lebanon’s ambassador to the US, Nada Hamadeh Mouawad, Israel’s ambassador to the US, Yehiel Leiter and the US ambassador to Lebanon, Michael Issa. The conversation on Tuesday will be mediated by the US and take place at the state department.

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  Lebanon’s health ministry has updated the death toll from Israel’s most brutal strikes on the country in years on Wednesday to 357 killed. The health ministry said that with rubble removal operations ongoing and “the presence of a very large number of remains, which require time to complete DNA testing and confirm the identities of the victims”, the figure remains “non-final”. It brings the total killed in Lebanon since Israel renewed its offensive on 2 March to more than 1,953 people. The number of people wounded stands at 6,303, the health ministry added.

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  All the while, Israel continues its assault on Lebanon. Lebanon’s president Joseph Aoun said on Friday that 13 state security personnel were killed in an Israeli strike on a governmental building in the southern city of Nabatieh. In a statement, Aoun condemned continued Israeli attacks and said targeting state institutions would not deter Lebanon from defending its sovereignty. An ambulance was also targeted in Tyre, killing two paramedics, Al Jazeera reported.

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Lebanon and Israel have agreed to hold their first meeting on Tuesday at the US state department to discuss announcing a ceasefire and setting a date to begin talks.

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Lebanon’s presidency said Lebanon and Israel held their first contact via a telephone call between their ambassadors in Washington on Friday.

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The US will mediate the conversation.

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soldiers patrol along the Israel-Lebanon border on Friday. The Israeli military said on April 10 that it had \”dismantled\” more than 4,300 Hezbollah sites in Lebanon since fighting with the militant group began last month.”,”caption”:”Israeli soldiers patrol along the Israel-Lebanon border on Friday. The Israeli military said on April 10 that it had \”dismantled\” more than 4,300 Hezbollah sites in Lebanon since fighting with the militant group began last month. “,”credit”:”Photograph: Jalaa Marey/AFP/Getty Images”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1775851996000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”22.13 CEST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1775868633000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”02.50 CEST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1775852026000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”22.13 CEST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”22.13″,”title”:”Lebanon and Israel agree to hold first meeting in Washington on Tuesday”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Sat 11 Apr 2026 04.36 CEST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 10 Apr 2026 04.40 CEST”},{“id”:”69d952958f08a86a0e5637f5″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

The Iranian negotiating delegation led by parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf arrived in Islamabad for peace talks with the United States, Iranian media reported, adding that negotiations would begin if Washington accepted Tehran’s “preconditions”.

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The delegation includes senior political, military and economic officials, including Iranian foreign minister, defence council secretary, central bank governor and several members of parliament.

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The White House considered but decided against a national televised address by Donald Trump on Tuesday to announce the ceasefire deal with Iran, with some aides and advisers privately voicing concern about potentially overselling the still-nascent agreement, three US officials have told Reuters.

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The decision suggests a balancing act by the Trump administration, which sought to project early confidence in the deal to pause fighting and open the strait of Hormuz even as aides recognised its fragility.

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Ahead of talks slated to begin on Saturday in Islamabad, it is far from clear if the ceasefire will translate into a negotiated settlement to the war.

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Reuters’ sources said Trump was talked out of making the speech. But the White House denied the discussions rose to Trump’s level. It said in a statement:

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\n

This is fake news. This was never even discussed with the president.

\n

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As you will remember, Trump ended up announcing the ceasefire in a social media post just hours before his Tuesday 8pm ET deadline, after which he had threatened to wipe out Iran’s “whole civilisation”.

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One of the sources told Reuters that Trump had been “adamant” about delivering the address. The officials said it had been under consideration, but the White House did not move forward with it because details of the ceasefire were still shaky.

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Trump’s senior advisers were working through what was in the deal and did not think they had enough clarity for the US president to address the nation, the sources said.

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One senior White House official acknowledged internal discussions about Trump addressing the nation on Tuesday night.

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“There was chatter about it, but obviously it didn’t come to fruition, and we didn’t alert the networks or anything; it didn’t get that far,” the official told Reuters, without confirming whether Trump was talked out of giving an address.

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This weekend’s negotiations between Iran and the US in Islamabad are “make or break” to achieve a permanent ceasefire, Pakistan’s prime minister has said.

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Shehbaz Sharif said in a televised address:

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\n

This is a make-or-break moment. I ask all of you to pray that these talks are successful and countless lives are saved and the world shall see peace.

\n

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He said that – “God-willing” – negotiators from both the US and Iran would be present for the talks in Islamabad on Saturday, adding that hosting the talks is “not just a proud moment for Pakistan but for the entire Muslim world”.

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US vice-president JD Vance boarded a plane bound for the negotiations in Pakistan on Friday morning, saying that he was “looking forward” to the talks and he expected them to be positive, though he warned Iran not to “play” the United States.

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There are conflicting reports over whether Iran’s delegation, which will include parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and foreign minister Abbas Araghchi, has departed for Islamabad.

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Ghalibaf said on Friday that two previously agreed measures, a ceasefire in Lebanon and the release of Iran’s blocked assets, “must be fulfilled before negotiations begin”.

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Lebanon’s health ministry has updated the death toll from Israel’s most brutal strikes on the country in years on Wednesday to 357 killed.

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The health ministry said that with rubble removal operations ongoing and “the presence of a very large number of remains, which require time to complete DNA testing and confirm the identities of the victims”, the figure remains “non-final”.

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It brings the total killed since Israel renewed its offensive on 2 March to more than 1,953 people. The number of people wounded stands at 6,303, the health ministry added.

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Melania Trump made a surprise appearance at the White House on Thursday to announce that she “never had a relationship” with the late child sex offender Jeffrey Epstein and his accomplice Ghislaine Maxwell. Her address has seemingly put Epstein back on the political agenda when focus had been firmly on the US and Israel’s war in Iran.

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The intervention came at a difficult time for her husband, Donald Trump, as the fragile ceasefire agreed between the US and Iran seemed to be at risk of falling apart, and as US lawmakers are raising the alarm over the president’s mental stability.

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In today’s edition of The Latest podcast, Lucy Hough speaks to the Guardian US editor, Betsy Reed, Trump’s rhetoric in the Iran war, and whether there is anything to be hopeful about in US politics.

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US inflation soared in March amid the US-Israel war with Iran, with prices up 0.9% compared with last month and 3.3% over the year, according to new data released on Friday.

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The spike in the consumer price index (CPI), which measures the price of a basket of goods and services, is the largest in nearly two years and the first official measure of how the conflict has affected US consumer prices, particularly as Iran blocked the strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world’s oil and gas would typically pass.

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The index for energy rose 10.9% in March, led by a 21.2% increase in the index for gasoline which accounted for nearly three-quarters of the monthly all items increase. Airfares rose 2.7% in March and were 14.9% higher than a year earlier.

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Core inflation – which strips out volatile food and energy prices – rose at a more modest 0.2% over the month and was 2.6% higher over the year.

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The annualized inflation rate has not pushed past 3% since summer 2024, when inflation was finally cooling after reaching a generational high of 9.1% in June 2022.

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The war on Iran has driven the American economy into deeper uncertainty, adding to a precariousness that first came with Donald Trump’s tariffs last year. Inflation reached a four-year low last April, when price increases dropped to 2.3%. It rose to 3% by September, before coming back down to 2.4% in January and February.

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Oil prices dropped after Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran, which agreed to reopen the strait during the ceasefire period, but oil prices still remain high. Even after the agreement was announced, US crude oil was still priced 10% higher than before the conflict and nearly 30% higher since the start of the year.

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Read the full story here:

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• \n

  US vice-president JD Vance has warned Iran not to “play” the US as he headed overseas for negotiations aimed at ending their war. Vance, who has long been sceptical of foreign military interventions and outspoken about the prospect of sending troops into open-ended conflicts, set off Friday to lead mediated talks with Iran in the Pakistani capital of Islamabad.

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• \n

  President Donald Trump has said that US warships are being reloaded with weaponry to strike Iran if talks in Pakistan fail to produce a deal, in an interview with the New York Post. “We have a reset going. We’re loading up the ships with the best ammunition, the best weapons ever made – even better than what we did previously and we blew them apart,” the Post quoted Trump as saying.

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• \n

  Iran’s parliament speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf said on Friday that two previously agreed measures, a ceasefire in Lebanon and the release of Iran’s blocked assets, must be implemented before negotiations begin. In a post on X on Friday, Qalibaf said the steps were part of commitments made between the parties and warned that talks should not start until they were fulfilled, amid mounting disputes over ceasefire terms and continued hostilities in Lebanon.

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• \n

  US negotiators intend to request the release of Americans detained in Iran as part of upcoming talks aimed at ending the war, according to media reports. The Washington Post cited people briefed on the plans in its report.

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• \n

  Iran-backed Hezbollah fired around 30 projectiles from Lebanon into Israel on Friday, the Israeli military said, reporting that some strikes caused damage. Air-raid sirens were activated across northern Israel near the Lebanese border, where Israeli forces and Hezbollah militants have continued to exchange fire despite a truce in the broader conflict involving Iran.

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• \n

  Lebanon’s president Joseph Aoun said on Friday that 13 state security personnel were killed in an Israeli strike on a governmental building in the southern city of Nabatieh. In a statement, Aoun condemned continued Israeli attacks and said targeting state institutions would not deter Lebanon from defending its sovereignty, Reuters reported.

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• \n

  Israel’s foreign affairs ministry announced Spanish representatives will not be allowed access to the US-led centre responsible for monitoring the ceasefire in the Gaza Strip due to what it described as a “blatant anti-Israeli bias”. In a statement on its website, the ministry said the decision was made to block Spain from participating in the Civil-Military Coordination Center (CMCC) in light of “the anti-Israel obsession of [Spanish] Prime Minister [Pedro] Sánchez’s government and its serious harm to Israeli (and also American) interests – including during the war against Iran”.

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• \n

  European airports have said jet fuel shortages could hit the summer holiday season, if oil supplies do not start to flow through the strait of Hormuz within the next three weeks. Airports Council International (ACI) Europe wrote to Apostolos Tzitzikostas, the EU transport commissioner, saying the bloc is three weeks away from shortages.

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• \n

  The Israeli military has claimed to have destroyed more than 200 Hezbollah rocket launchers since the start of the conflict. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said in a statement online that it destroyed more than 200 rocket launchers, including approximately 1,300 launch tubes, belonging to the Iran-backed militant group since 2 March.

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• \n

  Keir Starmer said he used a call with Donald Trump to set out the views of Gulf states, the Press Association reported. “I had a discussion with president Trump last night and set out to him the views of the region here, these Gulf states are the neighbours of Iran, and therefore, if the ceasefire is to hold – and we hope it will – it has to involve them,” the UK prime minister said in Qatar, where he was on the final leg of his Middle East tour.

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• \n

  Anwar Gargash, the UAE’s senior diplomatic envoy, said on X that his country will review regional and international ties in light of attacks by Iran to “determine who can be relied upon”. The UAE’s defence ministry said yesterday that its air defences have intercepted 537 ballistic missiles, 26 cruise missiles and 2,256 drones since the start of the war.

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• \n

  The UN children’s agency, Unicef, reported that nearly 600 children have been killed or injured in Lebanon since the outbreak of the latest Israel-Hezbollah war on 2 March. More than 30 children were killed and nearly 150 injured by the wave of bombings carried out on Wednesday by Israeli troops, Unicef said.

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Donald Trump said that Iran has “no cards” ahead of peace talks in Pakistan in a post on social media this afternoon.

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Writing on Truth Social, he said:

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The Iranians don’t seem to realize they have no cards, other than a short term extortion of the World by using International Waterways. The only reason they are alive today is to negotiate!

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President Donald Trump has said that US warships are being reloaded with weaponry to strike Iran if talks in Pakistan fail to produce a deal, in an interview with the New York Post.

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“We have a reset going. We’re loading up the ships with the best ammunition, the best weapons ever made – even better than what we did previously and we blew them apart,” the Post quoted Trump as saying.

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“And if we don’t have a deal, we will be using them, and we will be using them very effectively.”

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He added:

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We’re going to find out in about 24 hours. We’re going to know soon.

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In a brief and cryptic message on his Truth Social network earlier, Trump had spoken of the “WORLD’S MOST POWERFUL RESET!!!”

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Further to the announcement by the Israeli foreign affairs ministry of Spain’s exclusion from the Civil-Military Coordination Center (see previous post), the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, has accused Madrid of “hostility” towards his country.

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In a video message posted today, he said:

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Israel will not remain silent in the face of those who attack us.

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Spain has defamed our heroes, the soldiers of the IDF, the soldiers of the moral army in the world.

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Therefore, I have instructed the removal of the Spanish representatives from the coordination center in Kiryat Gat, after Spain has repeatedly chosen to stand against Israel.

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Whoever attacks the State of Israel instead of the terrorist regimes, whoever does this, will not be our partner in the future of the region.

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I am not willing to tolerate this hypocrisy and this hostility. I do not intend to allow any country to wage a diplomatic war against us without paying an immediate price for it.

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Israel’s foreign affairs ministry announced Spanish representatives will not be allowed access to the US-led centre responsible for monitoring the ceasefire in the Gaza Strip due to what it described as a “blatant anti-Israeli bias”.

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In a statement on its website, the ministry said the decision was made to block Spain from participating in the Civil-Military Coordination Center (CMCC) in light of “the anti-Israel obsession of [Spanish] Prime Minister [Pedro] Sánchez’s government and its serious harm to Israeli (and also American) interests – including during the war against Iran”.

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It added that the US was informed in advance of the decision.

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Sánchez has arguably been the most vocal western critic of Donald Trump’s war in Iran. While most European leaders have reacted with cautious optimism at news of the ceasefire between the US and Iran, Sánchez said his government “will not applaud those who set the world on fire just because they show up with a bucket”.

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In a statement, the Israeli foreign affairs minister, Gideon Saar, said: “The Sánchez government’s anti-Israel bias is so egregious that it has lost all capability to serve as a constructive actor in implementing President Trump’s peace plan and in the CMCC operating under that plan.”

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US vice-president JD Vance has warned Iran not to “play” the US as he headed overseas for negotiations aimed at ending their war.

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Vance, who has long been sceptical of foreign military interventions and outspoken about the prospect of sending troops into open-ended conflicts, set off Friday to lead mediated talks with Iran in the Pakistani capital of Islamabad.

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Boarding Air Force Two on his way to Pakistan, the vice president said:

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We’re looking forward to the negotiation. I think it’s gonna be positive. We’ll of course see.

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He cited Trump, adding: “If the Iranians are willing to negotiate in good faith, we’re certainly willing to extend the open hand.”

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But he said: “If they’re gonna try and play us, then they’re gonna find that the negotiating team is not that receptive.”

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Vance also said that Trump “gave us some pretty clear guidelines” on how talks should go, but he didn’t elaborate. The vice president did not take questions from reporters traveling with him.

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Vance speaks to reporters before boarding Air Force Two to Pakistan”,”caption”:”JD Vance speaks to reporters before boarding Air Force Two to Pakistan”,”credit”:”Photograph: Jacquelyn Martin/AFP/Getty Images”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1775824702000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”14.38 CEST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1775825826000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”14.57 CEST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1775825164000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”14.46 CEST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”14.46″,”title”:”Vance warns Iran not to ‘play’ US in Islamabad talks”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Sat 11 Apr 2026 04.36 CEST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 10 Apr 2026 04.40 CEST”},{“id”:”69d89f438f08ff62487f69f0″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) chief of staff, Eyal Zamir, said Israeli forces are continuing their combat operations in southern Lebanon and are “not in a ceasefire” with Hezbollah, according to remarks released by the IDF.

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During a visit near Bint Jbeil in southern Lebanon, Zamir said:

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\n

The IDF is in a state of war, we are not in a ceasefire, we continue to fight here in this sector, this is our main fighting sector. In Iran, we are in a ceasefire, and we can return to fighting there at any moment, and in a very powerful manner.

\n

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An intense wave of Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon on Wednesday killed more than 300 people, according to Lebanese authorities, making it the deadliest day for the country since the recent bout of fighting between Israel and Hezbollah began on 2 March.

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Several world leaders, including the UK, have condemned Israel’s strikes and have called for Lebanon to be included in the US-Iran ceasefire.

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An Iranian delegation arrived in the Pakistani capital Islamabad last night for mediated talks with the US, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

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The delegation is led by the Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, and parliament speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, according to the report.

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Iran’s semi-official Tasnim news agency has reported that news of Iranian officials arriving in Islamabad to negotiate with the US “is completely false”. Other state-affiliated media in Iran have also reported such denials.

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US vice-president JD Vance is expected to lead the US delegation. He will be joined by US special envoy Steve Witkoff and Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, both of whom took part in three rounds of indirect nuclear talks with Iranian negotiators in Oman before the US and Israel launched attacks against Iran on 28 February.

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The streets of Islamabad are on strict lockdown as Pakistan’s capital prepares to play host to historic negotiations between Iran and the US that have dangled the promise of an end to war that has devastated the Middle East.

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Even as the US-Iran ceasefire looked increasingly precarious, amid Israel’s continued bombardment of Lebanon and disputes over the terms of the talks, Pakistani officials insist that the make-or-break peace negotiations will be going ahead over the weekend as planned

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According to Iran’s deputy foreign minister Saeed Khatibzadeh, Pakistan’s interventions to maintain the peace and protect the fragile ceasefire have continued behind the scenes. Khatibzadeh claims that Pakistan has intervened to stop Iran retaliating against the strikes on Lebanon.

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Ahead of the first round of discussions in Islamabad, which are due to take place on Saturday, army personnel and paramilitary rangers have been deployed and security has been beefed up across the capital. A public holiday was declared on Thursday and Friday and the streets remain eerily empty.

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Officials have confirmed that the key delegations were due to arrive on Thursday night and Friday morning. On the US side, the White House has said their negotiating team would be led by vice-president JD Vance, with special envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner also travelling to Islamabad.

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Iranian officials say their delegation will include foreign minister Abbas Araghchi and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, who were both part of the ceasefire negotiations. Senior figures from Iran’s revolutionary guard are also expected to attend.

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Due to the high security risks involved, Pakistani officials have confirmed that there were three to four possible venues being lined up for the critical meeting.

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The most high-profile attenders are expected to stay in Islamabad’s exclusive five-star Serena hotel, which may also play host to the talks. The hotel has been cleared of its guests and the surrounding 3km of roads have been shut off to cars and put under army control.

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Kuwait has accused Iran and its proxies of launching drone attacks targeting it on Thursday, despite the two-week ceasefire in the Iran war.

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Kuwait’s foreign ministry said drone attacks “targeted some vital Kuwaiti facilities” on Thursday night.

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Iran’s Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) has however denied launching new attacks on Gulf states.

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In a statement carried on Iran’s state-run IRNA news agency the IRGC said “if these reports published by the media are true, without a doubt it is the work of the Zionist enemy or America.”

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Stocks rose on Friday with investors still optimistic about the shaky US-Iran ceasefire ahead of planned weekend talks, but the price of oil nudged slightly higher.

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Equity markets extended the week’s gains in early trading on Friday: Tokyo, Hong Kong, Seoul, Shanghai and Taipei all rose at least 1%, while Singapore and Manila were also well up, though Sydney slipped.

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The gains in Asia followed a second healthy run-up on Wall Street, with the S+P 500 on Thursday rising 0.6%

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Brent crude climbed 1% to $96.83 a barrel as trading resumed in Asia.

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Welcome to the Guardian’s continuing coverage of the crisis in the Middle East.

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The fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran showed further strain on Friday, a day before delegations from both countries are due to meet in Pakistan, as Donald Trump accused Tehran of breaching promises on the strait of Hormuz and Israel struck Lebanon with attacks that Iran claims violate the truce.

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Trump said in a social media post late Thursday that Iran was doing a “very poor job” of allowing oil to go through the strait. “That is not the agreement we have!”

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There is no sign Iran is lifting its near-total blockade of the strait, which has caused the worst-ever disruption to global energy supplies. Tehran cited Israel’s ongoing attacks on Lebanon, which included the heaviest strikes of the war on Wednesday, as a key sticking point.

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In the first 24 hours of the ceasefire, which Trump announced on Tuesday, just a single oil products tanker and five dry bulk carriers sailed through the strait, which typically carries a fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas flows and 140 ships a day before the war.

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• \n

  Donald Trump has said he is “very optimistic” a peace deal with Iran was within reach as a diplomatic delegation led by his vice-president JD Vance prepared to head to Pakistan for high-stakes talks aimed at ending the war this weekend. Iran’s leaders “talk much differently when you’re at a meeting than they do to the press. They’re much more reasonable,” the US president said, in line with his administration’s narrative that there’s a disconnect between what Tehran says publicly and privately.

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• \n

  Trump also confirmed that he had asked Benjamin Netanyahu on Wednesday to be “more low-key” in Lebanon to help ensure the success of the upcoming US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad. “I spoke with Bibi and he’s going to low-key it. I just think we have to be sort of a little more low-key,” Trump told NBC News, adding that he believed Israel was “scaling back” its operations in Lebanon.

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• \n

  Netanyahu said he had instructed his cabinet to begin direct negotiations with Lebanon aimed at disarming Hezbollah – all the while insisting that “there is no ceasefire” in Lebanon and that Israel will “continue to strike Hezbollah with force”.

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  Israel has since launched a fresh wave of strikes against what it called “Hezbollah launch sites” in Lebanon, after the IDF earlier ordered people to flee Beirut’s densely populated southern suburbs. Later in the day, Hezbollah said it had fired a rocket salvo towards northern Israeli settlements.

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• \n

  While Israel continues to insist that the war will go on and “talks will be held under fire”, Lebanon is demanding a ceasefire before direct negotiations can begin. Joseph Aoun, the Lebanese president, said this was “the only solution”. Lebanon is also insisting that it needs the US as a mediator and guarantor of any agreement. Those talks will take place next week, hosted by the US state department in Washington.

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• \n

  Iran’s ⁠president ⁠Masoud Pezeshkian said ⁠Israeli strikes on ⁠Lebanon violate the ceasefire agreement and would render ‌negotiations meaningless, adding that Iran would not abandon the Lebanese people.

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  The speaker of the Iranian parliament, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, said Lebanon forms “an inseparable part of the ceasefire” deal. In a post on X, he said “there is no room for denial and backtracking”.

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• \n

  Keir Starmer also said that Israel’s continued attacks on Lebanon “shouldn’t be happening”. The British prime minister also dismissed an argument put forward by US vice-president JD Vance on Wednesday that there had been “a legitimate misunderstanding”, saying the issue “isn’t a technical one of whether it’s a breach of the agreement or not”. It is “a matter of principles as far as I’m concerned”, Starmer said.

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• \n

  A statement attributed to Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, said Iran will take management of the strait of Hormuz into a new phase, but did not elaborate on what that would be. In the statement, read out on state tv, he also said Iran remains determined to “take revenge” for his father, who was assassinated on the first day of the war, and all those killed in the war. “We will certainly demand compensation for each and every damage inflicted, and the blood price of the martyrs and the compensation for the wounded of this war,” he said.

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Key events

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